MLB · resolved market

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ae06c883f9cc4b6a34bc93af891efd5504867c4088658b13059aecb1a6646d8

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,490 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbd60…396cbacked Under	47c	6,650$3,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,125.43	195	46.2%90 W · 105 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Over	53c	6,200$3,286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,914	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over	53c	6,000$3,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,823.19	246	51.6%127 W · 119 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under	45c	2,180$981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980.95	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over	52c	1,800$936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$864	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over	54c	1,325$716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609.51	958	50%479 W · 479 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	47c	1,260$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.4	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	47c	1,253$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.66	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over	53c	1,132$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.07	175	46.9%82 W · 93 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	491	58.9%289 W · 202 L	+30.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	46c	959.21$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.83	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over	52c	954$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$457.92	360	48.6%175 W · 185 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under	46c	759$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.14	272	49.3%134 W · 138 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	48c	753.17$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.52	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	48c	750.09$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.54	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under	47c	719.6$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.21	291	47.1%137 W · 154 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under	46c	653.5$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.61	410	51.7%212 W · 198 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under	48c	622.51$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.8	655	49.3%323 W · 332 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	26c	580.27$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.32	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	54c	531.91$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.68	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over	53c	515.55$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.31	614	50.8%312 W · 302 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over	75c	400$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	877	50.4%442 W · 435 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over	55c	390.33$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.65	390	47.4%185 W · 205 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under	29c	383.41$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.17	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	25c	275.52$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.88	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…2751backed Over	75c	236$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	174	46%80 W · 94 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c10…5d44backed Over	53c	235.38$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.1	87	33.3%29 W · 58 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	48c	231.77$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.25	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	46c	230.76$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.15	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	48c	220.5$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.76	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	72c	219$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.11	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under	47c	207.67$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.43	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	54c	199.1$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.14	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1c…0be3backed Over	58c	198.28$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.28	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over	55c	192$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.4	1,000	52.4%524 W · 476 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	652	48.3%315 W · 337 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under	19c	162.5$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.93	547	15.9%87 W · 460 L	-40.7wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Under	47c	130.55$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.36	213	50.2%107 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	15c	128.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.69	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	75c	118$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.58	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under	44c	114.84$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.53	1,001	48.3%483 W · 518 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e6f…cb64backed Over	55c	109.09$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.09	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49ae…dc88backed Under	45c	108.62$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.88	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Over	72c	93.69$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.23	195	50.8%99 W · 96 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	48c	79.95$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.77	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	47c	64.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.75	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fc…381abacked Over	55c	49.53$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.29	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	625	54.2%339 W · 286 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d2…4268backed Under	47c	43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.21	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	192	52.6%101 W · 91 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcd…724dbacked Over	51c	31.02$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.2	102	49%50 W · 52 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under	46c	31$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.26	539	50.6%273 W · 266 L	+16.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	48c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	390	53.6%209 W · 181 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Over	76c	22.58$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.42	260	63.8%166 W · 94 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc2…97c4backed Over	55c	21.82$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.82	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed Over	56c	21.43$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.43	320	54.1%173 W · 147 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over	54c	20.3$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.34	1,001	57.3%574 W · 427 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5this page
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota TwinsMinnesota Twins won
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Over won
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Over won
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Over won
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Over won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event