TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Mls · resolved market

Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,241 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes27c12,148$3,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,281.1453140.5%215 W · 316 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70033446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes18c9,076$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.627549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c7,935$5,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.791,27847.9%612 W · 666 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No76c4,441$3,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.041,88836.5%690 W · 1,198 L-7.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes27c3,704$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No73c3,584$2,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.4768250.7%346 W · 336 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c3,134$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.8177751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c3,027$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.2697646.2%451 W · 525 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No73c2,524$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.2118655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes17c2,303$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.4913518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c2,150$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.55916.9%10 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54053346.7%249 W · 284 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c1,773$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.883,01843.6%1,316 W · 1,702 L-28.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No73c1,200$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.9912263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No73c1,108$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.1623858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes22c1,104$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2471540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No79c1,034$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.1571843.5%312 W · 406 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No73c959$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9313948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes26c936.64$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.34825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-50.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes20c920$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.310319.4%20 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No73c700$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18912661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes19c626.53$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.992040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes22c604.5$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.993324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16215858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c550$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.570549.8%351 W · 354 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c550$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.573150.8%371 W · 360 L-3.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13514359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No75c462.2$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5478344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes5c458.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9292646.7%432 W · 494 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes27c448$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.969848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc908…2f61backed Yes17c447.06$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-60.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Yes11c445.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes7c443$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0152739.5%208 W · 319 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked No73c434.72$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.736100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe662…8954backed Yes27c403.07$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10816960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10814257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4583…6ca4backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-69.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No73c349.01$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.611,44936.8%533 W · 916 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes29c346.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbfc…b095backed Yes27c329.85$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.06540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Yes27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No73c260$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.212162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No73c260$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.211759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3801…7013backed No78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.413100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed No73c252.18$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.091850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…76a1backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No73c218.55$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0113942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked No73c209.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.71764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f6b…b245backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc06e…5796backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No73c183.41$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5217258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No73c160$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.214459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No73c156$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1214660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No73c156$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1214459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed No73c149.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.52065%13 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024426.2%64 W · 180 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes27c140$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.812343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes24c140$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes27c125$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7520660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No74c122.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.985664.3%36 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacd1…bd4dbacked Yes26c121.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No74c110$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0937249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e23…94b2backed Yes27c107.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c102.76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7574337.8%281 W · 462 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87af…08e8backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+49%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2715259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2713461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No73c99.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No79c97$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0227459.1%162 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No73c84.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0435349.9%176 W · 177 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No74c82.3$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.48563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No74c82.3$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.419560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No73c82.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.27758.4%45 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1920243.6%88 W · 114 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No73c75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.256065%39 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbe3…d0c9backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e43…afabbacked Yes27c71.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…8909backed Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe04b…37a8backed Yes24c70.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes18c67.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.23825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No73c59$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.931,30651.2%669 W · 637 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked No74c53.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.992254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes22c53.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8135647.5%169 W · 187 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe68d…a292backed Yes27c51.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35fe…95f7backed Yes25c51.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Yes27c50.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed No74c46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9614560.7%88 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cbd…0438backed Yes26c43.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.