Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75566081fd21b4da75286c261a5de4edd1d62ee9a76942e0bc5e502119c202cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gujarat Titansof Royal Challengers Bengaluru, Gujarat Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd055…e387backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 50c | 1,213$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.98 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…f8d5backed Gujarat Titans | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…066dbacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 276.19$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.69 | 115 | 24.3%28 W · 87 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 49c | 228.97$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…1959backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 204$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Gujarat Titans | 49c | 184.8$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…f49abacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 174.52$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.26 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…0664backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…dc6ebacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 118$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 100.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f24…e803backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1f…8756backed Gujarat Titans | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffe…115dbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…562cbacked Gujarat Titans | 52c | 90.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9a…b45bbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x537f…b914backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 80.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…a47abacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 69.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9d…1bcfbacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…a7bbbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe89…e3c0backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 53c | 47.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…4f07backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…a74fbacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d038backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 116 | 25%29 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 45c | 38.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04cd…b00cbacked Gujarat Titans | 49c | 32.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…591dbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 32.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…d024backed Gujarat Titans | 49c | 30.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd024…126fbacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…8bb3backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…1911backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…3c6fbacked Gujarat Titans | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3283…23a3backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 20.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af1…df2cbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa80a…b54cbacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a4…ccd1backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…606bbacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…291dbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat TitansRoyal Challengers Bengaluru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.