TailMyPicks

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Cricket · resolved market

Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals - Who wins the toss?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunrisers Hyderabadof Sunrisers Hyderabad, Rajasthan Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,212 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x08b9…3294backed Rajasthan Royals47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.871450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad52c636.62$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.677948.1%38 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94ba…001dbacked Rajasthan Royals6c544.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.65616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cab…f49abacked Rajasthan Royals50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016043.1%69 W · 91 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd841…64cabacked Sunrisers Hyderabad53c379.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.663138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb5…f8d5backed Sunrisers Hyderabad51c378.23$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.934841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad51c362$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.384957.1%28 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfea8…47aabacked Sunrisers Hyderabad47c246.98$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.921540.9%88 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…e387backed Sunrisers Hyderabad50c239.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.264544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a94…a47abacked Rajasthan Royals50c218$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1098146.9%38 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed8…9dd0backed Rajasthan Royals48c199.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9811524.3%28 W · 87 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9d…1bcfbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad51c195$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad50c190$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954820.8%10 W · 38 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-44.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7a9a…b45bbacked Rajasthan Royals50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e5…d1f0backed Rajasthan Royals52c156.85$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6512737.8%48 W · 79 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x537f…b914backed Rajasthan Royals50c138$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x663c…bb68backed Sunrisers Hyderabad50c123$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c0…d9cfbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6022843.9%100 W · 128 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5460…15b5backed Rajasthan Royals53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe9…98c6backed Rajasthan Royals53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504930.6%15 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf962…938cbacked Rajasthan Royals53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x352b…abd8backed Rajasthan Royals50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6064…cc6ebacked Sunrisers Hyderabad50c79.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.725145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9065…3275backed Sunrisers Hyderabad49c78.97$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2712759.1%75 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeac2…6deebacked Rajasthan Royals52c66.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510243.1%44 W · 58 L-7.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3e3…f804backed Rajasthan Royals52c66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.269352.7%49 W · 44 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69a6…4b30backed Sunrisers Hyderabad48c62.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.615742.7%67 W · 90 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf5b…d1ddbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad50c60.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.461533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94f4…a74fbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad52c48.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.235650%28 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b2b…5750backed Sunrisers Hyderabad50c43.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.794143.9%18 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25b4…d024backed Rajasthan Royals53c41.49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224348.8%21 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8183…dd5bbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad50c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.58050%40 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd024…126fbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad50c40.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.162466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19d0…d038backed Rajasthan Royals50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011625%29 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ff…d178backed Rajasthan Royals53c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.082030%6 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f5b…ba31backed Rajasthan Royals51c35.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1817842.1%75 W · 103 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9f2…8b07backed Sunrisers Hyderabad49c32.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.652634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb49…c851backed Rajasthan Royals50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155940.7%24 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21fa…53cdbacked Rajasthan Royals51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.37965.8%52 W · 27 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1496…562cbacked Rajasthan Royals51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bf8…a7bbbacked Rajasthan Royals52c28.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7433…3c6fbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad52c28.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.68785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+54.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2749…bc85backed Rajasthan Royals53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf1f…8756backed Rajasthan Royals50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f33…a186backed Rajasthan Royals53c22.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9210…5430backed Rajasthan Royals52c22.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62552%13 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9c…591dbacked Rajasthan Royals49c21.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.592934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x70a6…a0dabacked Sunrisers Hyderabad51c20.29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.944634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50c7…b679backed Rajasthan Royals50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0196…ff5dbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecc4…7319backed Sunrisers Hyderabad50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106857.4%39 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9af1…df2cbacked Rajasthan Royals51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211134.2%38 W · 73 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa80a…b54cbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde47…40d0backed Rajasthan Royals51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e37…f2b3backed Rajasthan Royals52c19.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.