TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xecc4…7319

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Cricket, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT6857.4%39 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$32.11
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.35
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlandsbacked Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+33%+$16.77
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Derbyshirebacked Derbyshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$14.51
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.07
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals - Who wins the toss?backed Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Essexbacked Hampshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$41.67
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$57.44
T20 Blast: Kent vs Sussexbacked Kent · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+148%+$37.01
T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Nottinghamshirebacked Lancashire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$8.91
T20 Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.21
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+65%+$81.3
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Kentbacked Middlesex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.01
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$59.79
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$38.84
T20 Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$31.82
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.14
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.09
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+149.1%+$149.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$13.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 13.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$33.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 5% and 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.