Cricket · resolved market
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce57e1d9c791cd1676128072d424b28dbff6dd00809564197a983c0da48db5ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Indiesof Ireland, West Indies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Ireland | 13c | 4,060$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.84 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Ireland | 2c | 654.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Ireland | 21c | 421.42$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f8…497dbacked West Indies | 75c | 400.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Ireland | 26c | 394.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Ireland | 13c | 394.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ireland | 10c | 335.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed West Indies | 71c | 249.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked West Indies | 75c | 223.11$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Ireland | 22c | 209.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Ireland | 30c | 158.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Ireland | 30c | 149.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Ireland | 14c | 113.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae4…b563backed Ireland | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed Ireland | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…a67dbacked West Indies | 79c | 76.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Ireland | 19c | 76.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…0de7backed West Indies | 78c | 64.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed West Indies | 78c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb432…3a76backed Ireland | 21c | 51.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Ireland | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked West Indies | 76c | 42.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa943…bcbebacked West Indies | 77c | 31.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7319backed West Indies | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…ea32backed West Indies | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked West Indies | 74c | 16.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 192 | 65.6%126 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indiesthis page
- T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies - Who wins the toss?West Indies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.