Fifa International · resolved market
United States leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51537dbb2f544c793630d2ca1b9718864ff468da97441bdb07d6a75343b72e4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 33,604$17,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,637.51 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 57c | 24,815$14,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,228.71 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 39c | 18,751$7,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,248.01 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 36c | 17,868$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,149.98 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes | 41c | 14,500$5,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,944.96 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 13,051$5,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,243.56 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Yes | 38c | 10,000$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 9,079$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.27 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 63c | 8,816$5,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.97 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 63c | 8,272$5,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.34 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 63c | 7,529$4,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.91 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 52c | 6,803$3,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,558.23 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c8…7cc8backed No | 60c | 6,180$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.39 | 122 | 41%50 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 61c | 5,463$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.56 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 48c | 5,444$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.81 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 62c | 5,402$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.95 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 4,803$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.76 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…d3e8backed No | 60c | 3,808$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.19 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 40c | 3,775$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.19 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 61c | 3,168$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.33 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 60c | 3,151$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.39 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 40c | 2,997$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 2,834$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.07 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 62c | 2,800$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.89 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 25c | 2,800$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 48c | 2,533$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.85 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 36c | 2,194$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.69 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…de95backed Yes | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 60c | 1,461$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.33 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 60c | 1,400$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 64c | 1,400$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 64c | 1,383$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.69 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…fff9backed Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 60c | 1,296$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.4 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,269$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.39 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 62c | 1,260$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.6 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 23c | 1,250$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.5 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 41c | 1,052$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.32 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 39c | 999.99$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed Yes | 37c | 945.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 45c | 939.45$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.08 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…e170backed No | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…316abacked Yes | 37c | 913.51$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 907.82$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.24 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 39c | 873.28$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.58 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed Yes | 39c | 824$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.36 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 63c | 799.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed No | 64c | 795$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.2 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 56c | 773.57$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.6 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 61c | 747.5$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.53 | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked No | 61c | 740$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 61c | 739.99$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 61c | 738.45$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.8 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 27c | 703.7$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 48c | 628.78$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.64 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 57c | 600$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.5 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 59c | 599.99$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed No | 30c | 569.98$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.79 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 53c | 566.98$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.22 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 61c | 543.93$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.13 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 39c | 519.97$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.39 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 61c | 515$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.98 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…424ebacked Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 31c | 489$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.79 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 21c | 487.09$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.95 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 61c | 479.05$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.02 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 40c | 414$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.18 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 40c | 397$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.43 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63cf…94ddbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 63c | 382.75$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 343 | 51.9%178 W · 165 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 67c | 371$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.71 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 40c | 356.6$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.97 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 40c | 332.66$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 63c | 317.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 61c | 312$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 374 | 52.1%195 W · 179 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 64c | 312$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 42c | 301$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.53 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 62c | 286.09$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.47 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 44c | 283$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.72 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed No | 61c | 273$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 60c | 273$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…560bbacked No | 61c | 272$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…91c6backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e09…af7cbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Yes | 51c | 270$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 58c | 269.85$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.34 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7a…29f6backed Yes | 24c | 263$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States leading at halftime?this page
- Türkiye leading at halftime?Yes won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.