TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. United States: Draw at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,925 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes18c17,383$3,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,171.218,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No54c13,857$7,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,313.92,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes39c7,700$3,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,002.955042%21 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Yes44c5,546$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.0727845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9356…e52bbacked Yes39c5,066$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes26c3,736$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.332,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c3,567$2,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.914,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes21c2,823$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.627727.3%21 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x355f…1847backed Yes58c2,599$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010543.8%46 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes19c2,135$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.392,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No60c2,109$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.532,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes40c2,074$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.141,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f3d…2023backed Yes51c1,974$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005862.1%36 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No61c1,823$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.952,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No52c1,403$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.312,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No79c1,384$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.7164850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No60c1,296$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.418850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Yes39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016537.6%62 W · 103 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No78c1,218$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.562,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c1,187$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.153,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Yes40c1,171$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.925753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes38c999.98$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.9935514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No60c947.35$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.761,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No54c928.99$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.934330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x654a…cc32backed Yes60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004429.5%13 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes61c821.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc41…6b74backed Yes21c809.52$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702313%3 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes14c716.22$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3962633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No60c710.67$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.2726454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes39c636.94$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.353,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes18c568.55$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.554,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes2c509.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21219.1%11 W · 110 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes39c506.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019124.6%47 W · 144 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No60c414$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.634238.6%132 W · 210 L-1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d7d…10fcbacked No58c399$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.635657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No61c392.69$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.152,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No60c390$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15635734.5%123 W · 234 L-0.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No63c371$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4433937.5%127 W · 212 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes3c370$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No61c301$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2833237.3%124 W · 208 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f87…5859backed Yes17c301$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.172317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8151458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No58c283$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7635035.7%125 W · 225 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes35c258.76$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5587938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd883…714ebacked Yes39c257$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.237038.6%27 W · 43 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes45c252.17$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1148328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes39c249.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4695739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x384f…58adbacked Yes40c249.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes9c221.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2478234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes36c220$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.931046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No61c218.55$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.451,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No69c201$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3136139.1%141 W · 220 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No61c181.23$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.641,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dad…475dbacked No61c180$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.26043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No61c179.05$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.791,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes24c161.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.22,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No70c160$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4846047.2%217 W · 243 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No60c156.49$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.661752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Yes38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5739956.6%226 W · 173 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed No69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes38c143.58$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3270750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Yes55c140$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.230040.3%121 W · 179 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes20c139.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.444,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes40c125.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011233.9%38 W · 74 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2576…d613backed No61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.88251.2%42 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ad…cba4backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No61c102$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.783,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2069826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710954.1%59 W · 50 L-0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3927434.3%94 W · 180 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes41c88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0845740.3%184 W · 273 L-28.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes27c83.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2241968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xcb85…3ee2backed Yes53c75.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406944.9%31 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Yes56c74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4410340.8%42 W · 61 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes44c66$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0451250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaea…95a9backed Yes38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521022.4%47 W · 163 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe47b…a899backed Yes38c64.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb207…839bbacked No61c64.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.197565.3%49 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dff…6743backed No61c60.31$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3134646%159 W · 187 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No56c57.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3719356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.332,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Yes39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.550950.7%258 W · 251 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No60c46.89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.543,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45a5…5b1bbacked Yes59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x436d…dadebacked Yes57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.817460.3%105 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Yes36c38.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9926449.2%130 W · 134 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2ca…4419backed No55c34.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.658170.4%57 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick75cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No80c34.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.991,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No61c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.261,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa067…4b35backed Yes53c28.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9415959.1%94 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d0…0736backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031543.5%137 W · 178 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d63…0687backed No60c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.820848.6%101 W · 107 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No61c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.611,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a0…14b3backed No61c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1928257.1%161 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x213d…2978backed No62c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9810858.3%63 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedf…a085backed No61c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1910955%60 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.