MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x742072d48e45cb4b311b3c4e28c6722d4472d2c33e746eddd84909b4158cbe95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Cleveland Guardians, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $336,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 72,502$39,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,875.94 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Athletics | 47c | 37,500$17,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,874.95 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Athletics | 44c | 31,893$14,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,702.75 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 30,111$15,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,958.89 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 22,570$10,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,781.96 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 45c | 22,399$10,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,353.33 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics | 45c | 22,222$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,222.22 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 20,001$12,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,420.6 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 14,074$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,318.41 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Athletics | 47c | 12,452$5,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,550.05 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Athletics | 48c | 10,438$5,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,427.5 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…dc05backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 10,255$4,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,305.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 7,094$3,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,972.43 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 7,015$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.78 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Athletics | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.74 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 4,800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 4,181$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.74 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Athletics | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 3,634$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.5 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 3,000$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.09 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 58c | 2,875$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.27 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics | 58c | 2,688$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.95 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 2,499$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.49 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Athletics | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.1 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 2,127$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.36 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 49c | 2,121$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 2,102$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Athletics | 47c | 2,037$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.43 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,017$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.65 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 77c | 1,920$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.29 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,879$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 57c | 1,824$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 1,795$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.4 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 59c | 1,656$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.64 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 47c | 1,617$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.37 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Athletics | 47c | 1,612$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.45 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Athletics | 48c | 1,511$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.74 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 1,437$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.63 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,256$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.47 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Athletics | 44c | 1,144$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.87 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 972$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.88 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 926.1$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.83 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Athletics | 55c | 903.7$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 875$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8284…072fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 850$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 842.09$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.64 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 4c | 792.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Athletics | 75c | 790$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.1 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Athletics | 47c | 690.51$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.97 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Athletics | 53c | 683.33$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…461ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 659.34$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.64 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Athletics | 47c | 609.44$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.97 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Athletics | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Athletics | 45c | 533.33$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.33 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Athletics | 56c | 528.06$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.54 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Athletics | 61c | 523.2$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.05 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Athletics | 45c | 517$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.35 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Athletics | 64c | 505.21$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.82 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 500$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 45c | 494.45$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.83 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cleveland Guardians | 3c | 453.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Athletics | 47c | 451.49$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.59 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Athletics | 45c | 427.47$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.11 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Athletics | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Athletics | 51c | 385$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.47 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 374.04$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.52 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Athletics | 56c | 368.35$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.62 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Athletics | 45c | 366.67$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.67 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Athletics | 46c | 364.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.09 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Athletics | 45c | 361$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.55 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Athletics | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Athletics | 51c | 314.47$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.74 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Athletics | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 304.57$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 274$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.35 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Athletics | 61c | 269.82$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.74 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Athletics | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Athletics | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 265.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Athletics | 47c | 258.25$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Athletics | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Athletics | 57c | 245.95$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 243.55$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Athletics | 45c | 233.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.33 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Athletics | 45c | 226.67$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…650bbacked Athletics | 46c | 216.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 210$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Athletics | 45c | 208.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Athletics | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Athletics | 62c | 203.86$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.47 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Athletics | 58c | 203.25$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Athletics | 51c | 202.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Athletics | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Athleticsthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. AthleticsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.