La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e11c6d736fe5866019af167596fb0d87125f4408bd6d082718e9837960c2b48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 5,232$4,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.96 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b8…933ebacked No | 78c | 3,416$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fc…8cc6backed Yes | 23c | 3,160$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.98 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 1,935$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.26 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…2723backed Yes | 25c | 1,912$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6379…c82ebacked No | 78c | 1,392$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18a…7c09backed Yes | 23c | 1,286$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.68 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,250$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.01 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 13c | 556.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 22c | 486.47$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.02 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 22c | 454.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 14c | 411.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 370.95$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 23c | 352.49$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fdb5backed Yes | 22c | 339.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 17c | 300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 287.55$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 23c | 286.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 267.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 443 | 24.2%107 W · 336 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 22c | 259.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 476 | 53.8%256 W · 220 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…c9a8backed No | 78c | 190.68$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 78c | 187$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…b673backed Yes | 23c | 186.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 178.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 434 | 39.6%172 W · 262 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 16c | 148.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 78c | 148.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Yes | 14c | 127.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 14c | 124.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 23c | 124.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 23c | 107.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 95.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 23c | 95.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 23c | 92.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 22c | 87.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 83.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 15c | 80.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 24c | 79.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 77.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Yes | 14c | 74.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…409ebacked Yes | 19c | 70.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked No | 78c | 69.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 20c | 56.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 23c | 55.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…e9a9backed Yes | 24c | 43.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 78c | 29.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 77c | 27.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 79c | 21.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 79c | 21.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 79c | 21.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed No | 79c | 21.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 79c | 21.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 77c | 16.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…e458backed No | 77c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD end in a draw?this page
- Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.