TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Tricksters vs Next UP (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Next UPof Tricksters, Next UP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,751

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Next UP56c14,247$7,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,331.1892456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed Next UP52c14,219$7,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,781.44151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Tricksters45c13,382$6,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,019.752,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked Tricksters27c6,084$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.368545.9%39 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x637b…948bbacked Next UP61c5,947$3,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,326.357364.4%47 W · 26 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Tricksters55c5,770$3,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,180.835,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Tricksters44c5,303$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.091,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Tricksters42c4,610$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.4988330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Tricksters41c4,402$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.373,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Next UP51c4,181$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.7743951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Tricksters45c4,154$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.2410031%31 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Tricksters44c3,932$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.463038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Tricksters44c3,433$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.242,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Next UP63c3,133$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.092,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Tricksters49c2,115$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.461,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tricksters57c1,491$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.377,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Tricksters47c1,475$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.9375438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa905…d42fbacked Tricksters58c1,311$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.61944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed Next UP61c1,090$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.4310560%63 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Next UP49c1,040$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.7130155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Tricksters51c827.15$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.9123244.8%104 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Tricksters60c696.92$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.3889046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Next UP49c629.89$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.789339.8%37 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Tricksters41c589.86$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.4319652.6%103 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36cc…48dcbacked Tricksters36c501.66$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+234.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Tricksters47c478.8$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.34,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Next UP54c469.51$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.971,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked Tricksters53c420.64$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.5922257.2%127 W · 95 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Tricksters48c409$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5532139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Tricksters47c402.14$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0940542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbba…ac2dbacked Tricksters66c385.32$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.09955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick73cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ea…49e9backed Next UP55c384$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.85749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a96…b71dbacked Tricksters39c368.36$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.363933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Tricksters40c341.47$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7145748.1%220 W · 237 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Tricksters58c329$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.245754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Tricksters41c310.42$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7710041%41 W · 59 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f90…8ed1backed Next UP63c310$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.72955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Tricksters43c300.4$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.851,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d4a…c078backed Tricksters55c284.35$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8212271.3%87 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+26.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf78b…3a8abacked Next UP56c250.05$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.021838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed Tricksters61c223.54$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.421159.7%126 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Tricksters54c221.48$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.244,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Tricksters34c215.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.541,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf186…03a9backed Tricksters53c203.95$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6121850.9%111 W · 107 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Tricksters59c191$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2521251.9%110 W · 102 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Next UP54c187.45$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.710947.7%52 W · 57 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19bd…ae36backed Tricksters27c185.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Tricksters52c181.31$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.566,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Tricksters61c175.62$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6213060.8%79 W · 51 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Tricksters58c164$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7951446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Tricksters52c162.34$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8266436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Tricksters58c141$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3527156.8%154 W · 117 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tricksters53c138.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.665,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Tricksters57c137.86$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7340857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Tricksters50c134.07$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.513352.6%70 W · 63 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29ee…32a0backed Tricksters54c130.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Tricksters55c123.35$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5113751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked Next UP50c122.59$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.931845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3995…47edbacked Tricksters33c119.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.355642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked Next UP53c119.41$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8121653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e5…c8d1backed Tricksters47c110.43$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.474955.1%27 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Tricksters56c107.75$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.532,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Tricksters65c102.6$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1274653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a3…1753backed Next UP58c100.43$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.267159.2%42 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked Tricksters34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3415044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tricksters54c97.51$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.982,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked Tricksters60c96.68$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.326554.3%144 W · 121 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9cc…7262backed Tricksters52c94.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.574254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Next UP45c92.65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.512,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb175…fd32backed Tricksters57c85.88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.631163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a3…5b70backed Tricksters55c85.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.34233.3%14 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…fc74backed Tricksters24c83.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030831.2%96 W · 212 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Next UP55c74.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.265662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33db…b673backed Next UP64c72.76$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.17977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Tricksters65c68.93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.942255.7%235 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Next UP38c65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.451,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed Tricksters36c63.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2332544.3%144 W · 181 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8e…a638backed Next UP48c62.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.144037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed Next UP38c59.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1930859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Tricksters27c57.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.672,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfb…5d8cbacked Next UP56c57.22$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Next UP36c56.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.193,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x46fd…dffebacked Next UP56c53.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.59450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1357…4829backed Tricksters50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258549.4%42 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5cc…e18fbacked Next UP52c49.48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.832948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd2a…3ef1backed Tricksters60c45.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Tricksters60c43.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2636856.8%209 W · 159 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3147…2b50backed Next UP47c42.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Tricksters53c41.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf8…1d84backed Next UP57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Next UP54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.424558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ab…14e7backed Tricksters50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6628…3d33backed Next UP60c39.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8942274.2%313 W · 109 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2abe…6e2dbacked Tricksters51c38.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.864864.6%31 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfba4…4fcfbacked Tricksters60c33.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf336…d660backed Tricksters34c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Tricksters50c32.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.385973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0xfbac…ecc4backed Next UP50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1618841.5%78 W · 110 L-19.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed Next UP43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.141437%153 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Next UP41c29.85$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.