La Liga · resolved market
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea96157dc9b335620651d42e69767e9abc69645a21c4c3bc082a31fa373c3c8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,002 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x974f…2ab9backed Yes | 12c | 6,014$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 5,925$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.26 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 5,188$3,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.58 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 74c | 3,715$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.98 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…e941backed No | 74c | 2,028$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 1,349$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.62 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 1,335$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.11 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 26c | 1,285$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.21 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 25c | 1,220$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.71 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 897.09$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 875.53$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.98 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 817.56$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.57 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked No | 73c | 732$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.64 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Yes | 8c | 503.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 5c | 464.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 27c | 352.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 73c | 252$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…507abacked Yes | 7c | 242.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Yes | 5c | 239.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 5c | 237.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes | 7c | 217.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 8c | 212.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked No | 74c | 192.5$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Yes | 27c | 189$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked No | 73c | 184.85$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…8c15backed Yes | 26c | 180.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 178$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 19c | 160.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…b673backed Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 23c | 109$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 27c | 107$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 27c | 103.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e9…160ebacked Yes | 27c | 98.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 75c | 86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 76.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…ee84backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…88c2backed No | 75c | 68.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 26c | 64.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…7f36backed No | 74c | 63.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 28c | 63.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…7d44backed Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…b69fbacked Yes | 28c | 60.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7c83backed No | 75c | 58.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 27c | 57.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…7166backed No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 73c | 45.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…44a5backed No | 74c | 36.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574d…d19abacked No | 74c | 33.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…4f72backed No | 74c | 28.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…f195backed No | 73c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…ac9bbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 73c | 17.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 16.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 13.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
- Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.