Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7471fd926c7375f7e59f6dac20ab466fedf9b8e453850ec6125e49c2a3b21ae1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 10c | 6,448$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.8 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 12c | 4,557$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.09 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 13c | 2,381$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Yes | 12c | 1,792$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.01 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 11c | 1,250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 11c | 1,160$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…70fdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 13c | 875.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.86 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 12c | 838.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee9…69a0backed Yes | 12c | 832.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 815.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 11c | 749.59$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 12c | 700.17$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 12c | 675.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Yes | 12c | 666.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 11c | 610$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Yes | 11c | 572.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…09c9backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…decabacked Yes | 8c | 499.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 12c | 458.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 10c | 425$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe698…35eabacked Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 3c | 340$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0c…2c92backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…53a1backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…9398backed Yes | 12c | 291.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 11c | 268.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce0…e809backed Yes | 6c | 262$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb512…c8d7backed Yes | 11c | 249.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 13c | 223.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 12c | 199.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 11c | 181.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 12c | 177.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…4949backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 12c | 152$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4e…4f43backed Yes | 12c | 150.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 149.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Yes | 13c | 138.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes | 12c | 123.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 11c | 121.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f3…4642backed Yes | 12c | 100.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…fcd8backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…9e9bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d58…d189backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…a807backed Yes | 12c | 98.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 21cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?Yes won
- Will Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.