Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Bowling Green Falcons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16a35fc5c14366bc3577191f5afa15a0860cd523040e9655771f0e6d17d91bdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami (OH) RedHawksof Miami (OH) RedHawks, Bowling Green Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 11c | 3,818$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.03 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 70c | 3,657$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.73 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 57c | 3,617$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.05 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 63c | 2,632$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.84 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bowling Green Falcons | 32c | 2,197$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.36 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Bowling Green Falcons | 5c | 1,470$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Bowling Green Falcons | 43c | 1,356$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.57 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 77c | 1,296$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.37 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 37c | 1,268$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.43 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bowling Green Falcons | 69c | 1,063$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.6 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 64c | 936.63$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 60c | 893.33$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.75 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 69c | 712.33$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 30c | 708.81$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.17 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Bowling Green Falcons | 70c | 566.76$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.73 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 32c | 411$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 32c | 303.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.89 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 30c | 269.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 31c | 235.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.89 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Bowling Green Falcons | 72c | 209.65$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 32c | 205$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.43 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Bowling Green Falcons | 53c | 169.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.48 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 69c | 167.92$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 30c | 167.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.72 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Bowling Green Falcons | 71c | 159$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 70c | 148$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Bowling Green Falcons | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Bowling Green Falcons | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Bowling Green Falcons | 70c | 120.52$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 44c | 103$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 30c | 102.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1819…16debacked Bowling Green Falcons | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Bowling Green Falcons | 71c | 87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Bowling Green Falcons | 71c | 80.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 33c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Bowling Green Falcons | 29c | 78.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 29c | 73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…c6abbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 42c | 71.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Bowling Green Falcons | 70c | 67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0e…a5dabacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 62c | 59.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Bowling Green Falcons | 71c | 59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 32c | 57.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 66c | 48.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 29c | 48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 27c | 47.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 38c | 47.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 29c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Bowling Green Falcons | 70c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 37c | 44.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4e…4f43backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 30c | 38.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf2…396ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 32c | 38.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +214.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 30c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 30c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…58b9backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 32c | 37.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +126%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…7933backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 30c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 29c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…71cbbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 44c | 34.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 52c | 30.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…3d14backed Bowling Green Falcons | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Bowling Green Falcons | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…e0debacked Bowling Green Falcons | 70c | 21.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 75c | 19.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bowling Green Falcons | 70c | 19.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.