Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8efdede61ab8c43099403b1b9a2f0e71d7c8508494fa4d13ea5c3c981261460c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $359,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 9c | 136,084$11,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,686.7 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 8c | 40,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 8c | 35,320$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.6 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 8c | 21,927$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.63 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 9c | 10,634$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.42 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 14c | 5,296$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.32 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 5,207$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.48 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 8c | 4,659$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.76 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 27c | 3,850$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.5 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 9c | 3,832$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.88 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 16c | 3,035$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.46 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 11c | 2,446$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.46 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 10c | 2,374$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.02 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 73c | 2,126$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.08 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 74cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 8c | 2,114$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.32 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 74c | 1,718$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 20c | 1,434$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.64 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…41dbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,331$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Yes | 22c | 1,200$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,185$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 18c | 1,170$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.17 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,134$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 9c | 1,073$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 22c | 1,027$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 79c | 895.85$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.13 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…91b2backed No | 80c | 758.32$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6950…86a1backed Yes | 7c | 744.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 11c | 700.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 22c | 581.82$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…1c5fbacked Yes | 9c | 554.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 10c | 550$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Yes | 8c | 482.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Yes | 11c | 454.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 447.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 88 | 6.8%6 W · 82 L | -22.0wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…7933backed Yes | 5c | 395.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 22c | 342.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 25c | 277.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 23c | 273.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 26c | 232.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked Yes | 9c | 219$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 11c | 213$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked Yes | 9c | 198.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4e13backed Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 53c | 187.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c63abacked Yes | 28c | 179.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481e…2da8backed Yes | 26c | 170.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 29c | 155.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 10c | 149.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7762backed No | 75c | 133.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 22c | 133.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed No | 76c | 131.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes | 11c | 107.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 23c | 86.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 24c | 83.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…5be7backed Yes | 22c | 82.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85a…6f28backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed No | 79c | 69.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x592f…61a7backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…e33fbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…c7f3backed Yes | 22c | 56.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 22c | 55.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…71cbbacked No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…5830backed No | 78c | 50.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed No | 75c | 25.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4e…4f43backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…ffadbacked No | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.