Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aaad0fc42b5fae293c2d350a6cde64bacfec91c1d693070ce119ae3be3d0b3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 34c | 752.39$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.58 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed No | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02b…1b8dbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 477.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.96 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4e…4f43backed Yes | 68c | 441.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 351.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.72 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 312.83$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.18 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 310.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.49 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 36c | 277.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.29 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 191.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 183.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.13 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 56c | 179.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ee…9e92backed Yes | 13c | 156.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 77c | 114.79$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 64c | 114$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 79c | 101.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked No | 62c | 96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 15c | 80.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 72.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed No | 75c | 64.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 42c | 62.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 70c | 62.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 23c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 22c | 54.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Yes | 36c | 44.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 78c | 36.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed No | 79c | 27.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 73c | 23.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 79c | 20.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 79c | 20.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 79c | 20.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 79c | 20.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked No | 79c | 20.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 79c | 20.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 79c | 20.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 79c | 20.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 79c | 20.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…914cbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 75c | 19.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed No | 66c | 19.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…909abacked Yes | 74c | 16.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 67c | 15.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 79c | 15.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 79c | 13.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked No | 79c | 13.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.