Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b650888393d5e1321cfe0127430d9dd00eec4e04bee5ab051f462b7522cfc49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elmer Moellerof Pablo Llamas Ruiz, Elmer Moeller
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35e2…f115backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 0c | 15,379$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…40cebacked Elmer Moeller | 52c | 8,513$4,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,075.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 33c | 8,481$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.87 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 42c | 6,855$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.04 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elmer Moeller | 48c | 6,244$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.43 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Elmer Moeller | 73c | 4,714$3,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.46 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Elmer Moeller | 29c | 4,640$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.19 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 71c | 4,203$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.96 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Elmer Moeller | 27c | 3,581$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.05 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Elmer Moeller | 77c | 3,565$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.14 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 73c | 3,208$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.8 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 28c | 3,199$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.23 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Elmer Moeller | 57c | 2,732$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.99 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 80c | 2,470$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 60c | 2,449$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.33 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elmer Moeller | 48c | 2,222$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.91 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Elmer Moeller | 68c | 1,960$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.83 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Elmer Moeller | 31c | 1,517$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.19 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc20…6ee1backed Elmer Moeller | 26c | 1,432$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.8 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 60c | 1,412$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.1 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f4…a47fbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 78c | 1,340$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.07 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 74c | 1,329$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.45 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 47c | 1,287$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…c3f9backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 50c | 1,240$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.03 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 48c | 1,234$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.19 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 58c | 1,233$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.5 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 59c | 1,001$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.59 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Elmer Moeller | 21c | 952.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.55 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa164…7d86backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 52c | 932.02$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.64 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Elmer Moeller | 48c | 918.34$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.09 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Elmer Moeller | 24c | 902.21$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.53 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…507bbacked Elmer Moeller | 23c | 893.01$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.22 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Elmer Moeller | 51c | 880.08$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.68 | 208 | 44.2%92 W · 116 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 79c | 802.69$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.82 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 31c | 716.61$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.78 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 52c | 686.84$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.16 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Elmer Moeller | 78c | 631.35$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.99 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 24c | 624.91$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.31 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 16c | 593.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Elmer Moeller | 33c | 575.12$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.86 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Elmer Moeller | 27c | 560.27$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 68c | 516.95$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.53 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 73c | 491.9$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.09 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 49c | 477.9$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.51 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…3fedbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 74c | 465.91$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.53 | 93 | 67.7%63 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 74c | 455.68$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.27 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 24c | 444.43$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.19 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 71c | 435.85$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.4 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Elmer Moeller | 26c | 416.51$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.53 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 48c | 402.8$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.34 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Elmer Moeller | 37c | 401.58$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.3 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Elmer Moeller | 50c | 396.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.38 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Elmer Moeller | 27c | 382.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.21 | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Elmer Moeller | 26c | 311.23$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.31 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Elmer Moeller | 64c | 306.68$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.03 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Elmer Moeller | 27c | 296.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.09 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Elmer Moeller | 48c | 290.57$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.04 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…fbfbbacked Elmer Moeller | 51c | 287.72$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Elmer Moeller | 27c | 276.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.31 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Elmer Moeller | 27c | 273.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 73c | 269.53$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.76 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 74c | 266.05$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.88 | 465 | 62.6%291 W · 174 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…7debbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 72c | 249.51$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.65 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Elmer Moeller | 26c | 233.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.72 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Elmer Moeller | 21c | 226.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.18 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 7c | 222.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 47c | 218.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.73 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ca…8850backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 47c | 203.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Elmer Moeller | 46c | 202.35$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…ca40backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 26c | 201.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 689 | 51.1%352 W · 337 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 74c | 197.41$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.09 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 48c | 195.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.46 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Elmer Moeller | 54c | 194.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 53c | 183.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Elmer Moeller | 73c | 173.32$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 40c | 164.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d1…5ba7backed Elmer Moeller | 29c | 154.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 48c | 153.78$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 71c | 147.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…2230backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Elmer Moeller | 29c | 120$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Elmer Moeller | 21c | 113.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Elmer Moeller | 25c | 112.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 73c | 112.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 44c | 108.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 32c | 108.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Elmer Moeller | 56c | 108.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f8…bf06backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 48c | 106.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 17c | 106.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fd…4533backed Elmer Moeller | 27c | 104.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a8…cbeabacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 72c | 101.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb32…787dbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Elmer Moeller | 27c | 100.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed Elmer Moeller | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 94 | 64.9%61 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moellerthis page
- Set Handicap: Ruiz (-1.5) vs Moeller (+1.5)Moeller won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.