TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,346
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,346 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a92…6941backed No7c17,813$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.661118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-75%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No65c8,644$5,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,648.4446644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked No72c6,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,320450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes28c3,429$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes72c3,112$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.8523551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes28c2,182$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.322835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c2,050$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.3498844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes15c1,629$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.592080%16 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+49.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Yes14c1,429$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+227.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbc…c413backed No72c1,383$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Yes28c1,071$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.43560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+113.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes26c1,052$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.94928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes24c909.44$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.942142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c877.48$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.3114955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes29c850$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes29c793.1$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.1540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+50.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No74c792.81$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.68966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes17c780.4$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.547850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes29c724.14$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.141735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No74c711.12$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.1330055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15cc…6268backed Yes30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes26c518.19$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.565129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes17c500$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41511063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes50c467.94$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1310857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes64c435.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9612156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes29c344.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.345250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed No76c342.11$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes79c316.61$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0814951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes17c305.49$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.689257.6%53 W · 39 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed No73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes43c265$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6814843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cb9…0f15backed Yes27c230.44$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.22683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.46per pick37cpaid+120.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No71c209.98$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.09955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Yes67c205.22$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.042842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes37c204.68$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5614047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes26c201$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.25742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes22c191.42$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.422142.9%9 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+118.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed Yes26c191.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.451233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes20c190.1$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3712532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No8c185.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7630536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes75c177$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.641330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.674637%17 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes25c164.35$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5124732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes28c160.1$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.13836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…58e4backed Yes25c153.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1152343.5%10 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+85.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes50c150.84$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.427100%7 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+129.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed Yes20c150.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.111947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec3…22b6backed Yes28c142.67$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.344645.7%21 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No30c140.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.14940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No9c124.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.826823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes29c120.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.694546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked No72c118.55$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade6…a890backed Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed No72c110.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed No38c105.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Yes26c105.77$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c0a…7858backed Yes14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick13cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes28c96.43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.437334.2%25 W · 48 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+44.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26cb…c558backed Yes26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes31c95.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.93354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8510…e41ebacked Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes32c93.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7216865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No72c76.23$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2632453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes60c75.4$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.374353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No73c74.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6614755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes26c70$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.82147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+47.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc10a…46b5backed Yes68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked No75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed No75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No74c60$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.413243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked No17c59.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No76c50.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4311050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Yes26c42.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.31837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No71c25.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.11560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefd3…83d5backed No79c24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.98540%2 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick77cpaid-49.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Yes66c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.522650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae9a…7ceabacked No72c17.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-58.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked No75c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f0…7d99backed No73c14.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed No72c14.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked No72c14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.03650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf884…0364backed Yes76c13.15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.