South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x633de17c6bcc34f2f85118f32f2ba21c6dae03ca3d62ad5e0e9b888a73fd1f59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,699 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 60c | 21,316$12,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,526.42 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 40c | 9,060$3,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 25c | 4,426$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.9 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes | 40c | 3,598$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.31 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 3,569$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.14 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes | 40c | 3,564$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.5 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 2,876$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.67 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 2,000$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.96 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Yes | 27c | 1,853$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,491$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.92 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 1,367$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 40c | 1,058$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.2 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f2…b0f3backed Yes | 21c | 550.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 33c | 527.27$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 31c | 324.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb80a…1a43backed Yes | 29c | 277.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b1…536dbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…6268backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 40c | 202.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 40c | 197.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 8c | 190.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 20c | 189.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 61c | 179.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf97d…85ddbacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 13c | 159.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…c557backed Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 9c | 147$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Yes | 35c | 129.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 19c | 117.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61b4…ebf4backed Yes | 40c | 104.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 40c | 99.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed Yes | 28c | 99.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 91.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc773…d55cbacked Yes | 46c | 91.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 41c | 88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed No | 61c | 81.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 80.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 80.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 40c | 75.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…814fbacked Yes | 20c | 75.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 22c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 39c | 65.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Yes | 40c | 61.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…12cdbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Yes | 40c | 48.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 40c | 48.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 73c | 48.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc735…b72abacked Yes | 35c | 48.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Yes | 29c | 42.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 40c | 40.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked No | 59c | 38.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 39c | 35.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…e75fbacked No | 59c | 33.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked No | 77c | 32.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…4df9backed Yes | 42c | 28.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b67…525dbacked Yes | 38c | 28.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…8845backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb4…db25backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b3…688abacked No | 68c | 22.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 61c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…e89fbacked No | 72c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed No | 80c | 15.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…7bd6backed No | 71c | 15.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Santos FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.