South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e3808dafbc06006dae6a52c5f5ec08ba4e07584fe1432467e10766af8fdbc3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,433 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 2,416$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.93 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 2,041$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.73 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 70c | 1,372$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.24 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 24c | 1,249$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 31c | 963.6$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.71 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 25c | 875.59$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.57 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 654.37$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…42d4backed No | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 70c | 399.9$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.07 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 354.02$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…909dbacked Yes | 32c | 313.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 26c | 274.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed No | 71c | 246.7$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Yes | 27c | 207.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 69c | 202$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 68c | 200.5$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 28c | 197.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 182.81$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 168$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 15c | 137.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 136.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 26c | 124.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 22c | 121.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 20c | 108.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…1214backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 18c | 104.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 55c | 98.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…814fbacked Yes | 15c | 94.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 16c | 93.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39b…eb0dbacked Yes | 29c | 73.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 22c | 72.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 70.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 68c | 67.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 24c | 61.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed No | 71c | 60.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 59.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…4df9backed Yes | 30c | 57.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 33c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 32c | 45.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed Yes | 27c | 44.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 40.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 40.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379b…76ddbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 68c | 36.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…5c7abacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 29.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked No | 79c | 28.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 28.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 68c | 23.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked No | 80c | 22.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 18.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed No | 79c | 15.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Santos FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.