South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71dd0c149e39df69aee14cdeff7353a85a44b14d0fd809448a62d25219c3ca09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,723 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 5,282$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.77 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 60c | 3,535$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.36 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 70c | 2,607$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed No | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 655.42$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.7 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 78c | 543.79$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.12 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 536.81$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.49 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 30c | 513.57$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.5 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 447.33$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.53 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 30c | 411.68$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.17 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 32c | 315$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 56c | 294.17$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.61 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes | 31c | 214.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.24 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 68c | 210.14$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.89 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 31c | 197.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.55 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 29c | 165.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 150.9$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 31c | 132$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 32c | 109$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733a…538abacked Yes | 35c | 97.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7df…fb74backed No | 60c | 92.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 67c | 91.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 32c | 91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…814fbacked Yes | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 79c | 85.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 34c | 80.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 38c | 80.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 31c | 68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 21c | 66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bc…2aafbacked No | 69c | 58.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 32c | 51.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 42c | 50.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 31c | 38.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 32c | 37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Yes | 62c | 32.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f74…a597backed Yes | 72c | 27.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b2…8c10backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 73c | 21.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc980…4e72backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed No | 70c | 19.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…b39ebacked Yes | 55c | 18.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?this page
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.