La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13692d68a33c878489538e058d8febff129360c60c81d5cde446d4ff7786e1c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,189 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 5,001$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.45 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 1,645$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.2 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…6268backed Yes | 29c | 1,459$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 67c | 949.71$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.41 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +14.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed No | 80c | 697$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.6 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -6.9wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 695.19$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.55 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…0bc4backed No | 80c | 646$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 9c | 549.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 19c | 478.07$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.45 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 23c | 323.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…9a62backed Yes | 21c | 216.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6645…4b0ebacked No | 79c | 216.75$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 20c | 214.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.25 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 207.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 76c | 188$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 48c | 180.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 54c | 149.67$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 60c | 144.71$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…9118backed Yes | 20c | 138.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +216.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…009dbacked No | 80c | 138.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 62c | 125.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 19c | 117.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 33c | 115$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Yes | 18c | 112$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 108.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 12c | 91.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 15c | 89.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed No | 38c | 89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 84.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 39c | 80.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 16c | 72.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 18c | 63.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Yes | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 25c | 58.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 51c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…94d1backed No | 37c | 52.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…2d03backed Yes | 32c | 44.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked No | 73c | 26.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed No | 73c | 17.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…c080backed No | 80c | 12.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-03-23?No won
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-03-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.