Fifa International · resolved market
Will Bangladesh win on 2026-03-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x436a2f920ca70f11a86ad7cc6dfcf25be31d526f33d6ff53ea5ba53cc787595c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,340 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Yes | 5c | 2,823$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…f234backed Yes | 3c | 2,359$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Yes | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 17.1%33 W · 160 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…9fe6backed Yes | 1c | 1,488$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 3c | 1,429$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…6268backed Yes | 8c | 1,315$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 3c | 1,233$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Yes | 4c | 1,026$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48db…b26ebacked Yes | 4c | 999.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 3c | 993.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 4c | 828$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked Yes | 4c | 789.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f84…e4b4backed Yes | 4c | 760.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 3c | 741.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…12cdbacked Yes | 4c | 577.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 4c | 461.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…037ebacked Yes | 5c | 412.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebd…690ebacked Yes | 4c | 292.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Yes | 5c | 289.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…1139backed Yes | 6c | 250.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bangladesh win on 2026-03-26?this page
- Will Vietnam vs. Bangladesh end in a draw?No won
- Will Vietnam win on 2026-03-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.