Fifa International · resolved market
Will Vietnam vs. Bangladesh end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b7ebc37650a84d8f2cea7b5732d95304241914280a9ca40a6cde67e14b3c857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,662 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 44,440$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 11c | 3,932$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.83 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 2,986$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9740…2eeebacked Yes | 5c | 2,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 11c | 2,480$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Yes | 11c | 2,077$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 10c | 1,268$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…6268backed Yes | 11c | 1,126$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,012$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 10c | 607.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 605.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…fb42backed Yes | 17c | 576.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd366…ffc3backed Yes | 13c | 575.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 10c | 469.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 17.1%33 W · 160 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 9c | 132.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 12c | 126$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fc…b6f4backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48db…b26ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vietnam vs. Bangladesh end in a draw?this page
- Will Bangladesh win on 2026-03-26?No won
- Will Vietnam win on 2026-03-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.