South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73519b495be243a82931ceebea149fdeb0a291d7ba1c68238752bf7f261631a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,618 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 4,553$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 1c | 4,243$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 52c | 4,194$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 15c | 2,550$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.39 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 29c | 2,412$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.14 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 2,374$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.01 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Yes | 55c | 1,682$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 30c | 1,593$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.61 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 5c | 1,196$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked No | 16c | 1,100$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 57c | 1,026$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.32 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 4c | 687.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 60c | 499.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.98 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…6268backed Yes | 51c | 394.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x625b…031fbacked No | 4c | 393.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 320.41$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.72 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 28c | 215.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 48c | 146.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 60c | 136.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked No | 8c | 136.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 15c | 123.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…7be6backed No | 15c | 87.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 21c | 77.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…afabbacked Yes | 35c | 74.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed No | 24c | 72.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…09a4backed No | 27c | 66.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 31c | 61.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d6…f429backed Yes | 54c | 60.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2257…eb1bbacked Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked No | 48c | 52.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 32c | 49.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…ce3fbacked No | 21c | 48.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 49c | 44.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 29c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 37.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…8a6bbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Yes | 53c | 28.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 27.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Yes | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 66c | 17.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-16?this page
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?No won
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-03-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.