South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6de672ddf16c167df383190191f5f710b23432d99738c8434926ae1ae7e08231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,983 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 6,716$5,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.61 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 3,019$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.16 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 2,141$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.46 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 19c | 2,035$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.74 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 11c | 931.55$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 66c | 761.97$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.72 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 34c | 536.26$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.69 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Yes | 3c | 507.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 4c | 482.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…04edbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ea…7129backed Yes | 5c | 435.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 301.05$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.36 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 279.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 8c | 238.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 30c | 236.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 10c | 227.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 34c | 219.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…a306backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 34c | 164$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x625b…031fbacked Yes | 11c | 159.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 145.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 131.89$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Yes | 20c | 115.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 13c | 111.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Yes | 30c | 106.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 34c | 101.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…ca52backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 71c | 97.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 31c | 97.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 34c | 97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Yes | 30c | 88.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 34c | 84.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 84.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 71.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…33b8backed Yes | 35c | 56.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed No | 67c | 51.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…66a2backed Yes | 33c | 44.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 29c | 41.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…84ddbacked No | 67c | 38.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 30c | 37.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…56ecbacked Yes | 31c | 33.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc01…f1dfbacked Yes | 34c | 33.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?this page
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-03-16?No won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.