Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfde3ab8c84900ea9e2378726817b946d85ebb900b757ea8ac7c1f59ce0f99d06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,748 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 65c | 20,758$13,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,213.55 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 18,119$7,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,762.12 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 61c | 13,000$7,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,930 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 61c | 10,369$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300.09 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 8,908$5,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,424.85 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 39c | 8,494$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,181.25 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 40c | 5,284$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,170.4 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 4,692$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.29 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 80c | 4,189$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed No | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 2,837$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.53 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 33c | 2,628$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.21 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 28c | 2,437$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.94 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 62c | 2,291$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.42 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 36c | 2,222$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.22 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 39c | 2,163$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.32 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 35c | 2,119$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.13 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked No | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 61c | 1,381$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.19 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 56c | 1,236$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 1,128$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.04 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…dd3bbacked Yes | 71c | 985.92$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 39c | 984$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.24 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 39c | 866.68$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.06 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 50c | 804.83$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.69 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed No | 39c | 796.58$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 60c | 785.89$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.53 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 64c | 778.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…e8fdbacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 61c | 741.61$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.38 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 39c | 658.64$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.31 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 25c | 652$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.68 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 36c | 607.64$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 40c | 590$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +271.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 37c | 522.94$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…e882backed No | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 36c | 499.96$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.4 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 40c | 485$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.76 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 37c | 466.65$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 65c | 462$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.58 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 39c | 440$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.61 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed No | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 362.7$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.92 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 362.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 34c | 356.47$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 40c | 349.79$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.88 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Yes | 37c | 342.32$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.93 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9f…b8cebacked Yes | 40c | 331$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.85 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 39c | 300$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…259ebacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Yes | 70c | 251.38$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.41 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 49cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 62c | 223.04$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.28 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 63c | 222$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.52 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 70c | 208$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 31c | 199.77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.84 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed No | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 60c | 180$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 60c | 175.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 35c | 173.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed No | 60c | 168$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 39c | 165.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 36c | 164.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 40c | 156.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 35c | 150.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed No | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a7…e494backed Yes | 70c | 143.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…6268backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff8…942fbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Yes | 39c | 127$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4f…75f2backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Yes | 40c | 122.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 38c | 120.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 39c | 104.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.