Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e6ff78de865dbe201e3d2044722977aa5ffb18c90414dfb561a7d178ba35c8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,522 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 29,501$18,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,085.01 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 62c | 21,093$12,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,111.79 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 63c | 17,102$10,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,327.78 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 15,281$5,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,343.23 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 63c | 12,948$8,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,790.76 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Yes | 38c | 7,895$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 32c | 6,024$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 5,387$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.25 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.01 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 3,774$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.66 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 37c | 3,403$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.59 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 3,239$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.84 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 37c | 3,218$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.66 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 37c | 2,718$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.66 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 63c | 1,719$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.86 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed No | 63c | 1,530$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.1 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…84c1backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 27c | 1,161$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.33 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 62c | 1,106$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.33 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 1,023$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 37c | 965.12$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.49 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Yes | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 9c | 717.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 24c | 716.1$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.13 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Yes | 37c | 701.08$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Yes | 37c | 689.19$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 63c | 562$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.94 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 545.34$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.7 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 37c | 540$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 37c | 501.3$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 63c | 463.8$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.61 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 15c | 416.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 37c | 406.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 405.25$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Yes | 37c | 401.68$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 38c | 390$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…2ddbbacked Yes | 37c | 351.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 9c | 330.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 63c | 300$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 63c | 300$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Yes | 36c | 297.84$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.22 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 63c | 277.15$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 49cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 40c | 251.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 32c | 249.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 38c | 247.75$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 40c | 234.75$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d4…a401backed Yes | 9c | 227.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 62c | 201.64$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…4d78backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 162.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 36c | 161.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 34c | 161.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 63c | 143.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 31c | 133.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Yes | 37c | 132.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Yes | 39c | 128.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 42c | 121.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 118$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…7ff1backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afa…61f6backed Yes | 9c | 115.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 40c | 111.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 63c | 109.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382f…4fa6backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes | 26c | 106.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes | 38c | 105.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 42c | 104.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…98d4backed Yes | 37c | 102.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Yes | 40c | 102.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…a461backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Yes | 37c | 92.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed No | 64c | 85.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa353…39cabacked Yes | 37c | 85.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 36c | 85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 63c | 84.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Yes | 37c | 79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 37c | 78.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…267abacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.