Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7ff177f51d3896bb1140ea2770e727bc74803a7601c4e3fdc4b13c46a82c439
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,120 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 19,133$14,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,742.87 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 76c | 17,727$13,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.49 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 29c | 8,588$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.87 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 25c | 8,305$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 7,202$5,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.58 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 2,994$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.7 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…c02bbacked Yes | 25c | 2,664$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 76c | 2,430$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.17 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes | 24c | 1,788$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,754$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 20c | 1,478$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 1,315$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.73 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 24c | 1,310$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 76c | 1,148$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.47 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 1,077$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.26 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 76c | 1,075$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 25c | 1,002$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 24c | 1,001$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.24 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 75c | 958.39$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.6 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 865.51$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.72 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 24c | 812.5$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 24c | 722.54$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.41 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 29c | 520.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 513.57$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.77 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 13c | 423.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 75c | 397.96$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.49 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Yes | 25c | 363.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac14…ad9fbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 34c | 327.74$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 76c | 313.43$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…72bebacked Yes | 24c | 299.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…45aebacked Yes | 27c | 292.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3b…a651backed No | 73c | 292.6$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…525dbacked Yes | 27c | 266.47$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 238.95$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed No | 75c | 225.53$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…c6b9backed Yes | 21c | 212.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 75c | 210$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9834…ca19backed Yes | 11c | 176.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 11c | 175.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 171.92$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes | 18c | 171.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 27c | 167.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 73c | 156.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 24c | 146$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 26c | 142.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…757bbacked No | 67c | 134.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80a…1a43backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…ebdebacked No | 76c | 124.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 26c | 123.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b03…2b75backed Yes | 31c | 122.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 24c | 121$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…e910backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 118$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefc…27e4backed Yes | 24c | 112.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 24c | 111$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 37c | 107.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 13c | 107.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 76c | 100.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d4…a401backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…a461backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab1…c560backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 76c | 96.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 26c | 95.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 24c | 89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…8ce0backed Yes | 30c | 84.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…259ebacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 24c | 82.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 77.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed No | 65c | 69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7df…fb74backed No | 72c | 67.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 24c | 60.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?this page
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.