TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,290 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a92…6941backed No33c12,325$4,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,283.31266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+50.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Yes36c6,616$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.81450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c5,519$3,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.045,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes45c5,304$2,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,38814037.1%52 W · 88 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No57c3,784$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.252,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes45c2,361$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.424323%56 W · 187 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…e17dbacked Yes66c2,124$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No54c1,918$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.2922555.1%124 W · 101 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.27per pick32cpaid+58.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes28c1,284$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.667832.1%25 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e51…14f2backed No79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.823100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c1,009$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.7562652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes21c908.62$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.814129.3%12 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Yes37c900$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3332661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No64c878$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.081,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No56c854.37$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.8349044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No56c782.62$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.331,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes70c717.94$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019268.5%63 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c716.16$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.9510650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes59c695$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.864238.1%16 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes44c679.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Yes45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Yes38c599.98$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.991844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No66c591.12$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.216858.3%98 W · 70 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e90…be2bbacked Yes70c474.36$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No73c464.75$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2284347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15cc…6268backed Yes45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No61c436.12$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3762349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No41c434.52$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.64528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No52c406.21$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9815036.7%55 W · 95 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Yes69c400$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No55c356.91$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4279435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c312.47$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.941,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked No54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1383138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked No56c299.95$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.982433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No57c288.08$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.951,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Yes45c263.6$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.621844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No56c249.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11093446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No56c249.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No55c249.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4918543.8%81 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed No56c241.46$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.183745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No62c228.78$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9792835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No48c223.54$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.122,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8179…6b12backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes13c214.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.248834.1%30 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fff…3a96backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes20c202.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked No35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1302030%6 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes69c197.25$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.16650%33 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e4…cdc1backed Yes45c191.11$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No59c183.73$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.186434.4%22 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6372…1a3cbacked Yes15c167.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.87753.2%41 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe032…410ebacked Yes44c149.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.992356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked No33c149.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.312535.2%44 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No33c146.78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3424548.6%119 W · 126 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb485…20a5backed Yes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50f7…3da2backed Yes68c140.35$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No57c140$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.28951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No57c140$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.26653%35 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes46c138$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4853148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes42c135$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1323845.8%109 W · 129 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fe…6a33backed No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ec…0923backed No57c131.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.58580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No56c130$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5782053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb9…0f15backed No32c128.64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade6…a890backed Yes68c127.06$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No57c125$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.754353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…955bbacked No48c121.38$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.16977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+36.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.68747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No56c119.59$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.476940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed No60c116.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.17955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1606…460bbacked Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No56c109$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.967245.8%33 W · 39 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe950…1e0abacked Yes68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Yes70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x011c…c41cbacked No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No52c96.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3929917.4%52 W · 247 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes25c94.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0519436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No55c89.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0856445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked No56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed No56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.292254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.821854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes38c78.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9877056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f09…355cbacked Yes70c78.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No56c77.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.195651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes33c73.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8346422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509269.6%64 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes23c72.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8342625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb792…fa38backed Yes69c68.45$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.231258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Yes44c66$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.932035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed Yes47c64.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.116038.3%23 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes45c60.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.184252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked No58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.341553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes42c58.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4715549%76 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.