Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xede8c698e8329e2812bf1c7f6247fb4fac55ac512962a62e801e5c239f4dc067
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,037 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Over | 48c | 41,356$19,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,850.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under | 53c | 22,667$11,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,671.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 16,810$7,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,822.79 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 52c | 16,775$8,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,052.11 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under | 52c | 13,008$6,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,244.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 54c | 10,997$5,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,058.44 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 52c | 8,578$4,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Over | 46c | 6,114$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 46c | 5,908$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717.56 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 46c | 5,286$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.55 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Under | 54c | 4,744$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Under | 53c | 4,558$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 4,099$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.25 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 3,596$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.6 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 3,076$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.38 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 52c | 2,964$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 2,800$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 52c | 1,991$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.9 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Under | 52c | 1,906$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298a…adbbbacked Under | 55c | 1,802$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 17c | 1,495$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.07 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 47c | 1,437$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.21 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 1,314$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.18 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 41c | 1,209$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.77 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 23c | 932$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…06a0backed Over | 10c | 856.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 47c | 847.19$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.18 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 29c | 641.79$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.59 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 46c | 549.53$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.78 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 46c | 538.75$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.83 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 19c | 523.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 46c | 489.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.39 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 51c | 443.41$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.27 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Over | 24c | 414.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Over | 49c | 401.69$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 52c | 381.64$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.19 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 50c | 282.96$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 41c | 241.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 53c | 233.79$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.88 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 52c | 228.75$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 75c | 225.13$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x872f…af53backed Under | 53c | 224.44$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 221.77$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 49c | 202.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Under | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Under | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…1394backed Under | 51c | 158.14$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 47c | 148.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 77c | 139.72$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 27c | 136.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…5e4ebacked Over | 18c | 132.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…3e1fbacked Under | 53c | 112.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 11c | 104.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 24cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 19c | 104.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 49c | 99.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 49c | 97.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 40c | 89.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 22c | 87.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed Over | 46c | 86.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 25c | 83.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Under | 56c | 79.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 46c | 74.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 46c | 73.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 46c | 73.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 44c | 67.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 74c | 65.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 48c | 61.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 33c | 60.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 47c | 54.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 52c | 53.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 48c | 52.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Under | 52c | 52.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 48c | 51.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…ac76backed Under | 51c | 49.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 52c | 49.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 46c | 49.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Under | 56c | 44.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Over | 45c | 44.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4213…6940backed Over | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1272…37e7backed Over | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 48c | 41.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed Under | 77c | 38.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf884…0364backed Under | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Under | 76c | 36.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Under | 74c | 35.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Over | 47c | 35.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…8240backed Under | 56c | 35.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…9b6abacked Over | 47c | 31.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked Over | 49c | 30.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…1924backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Over | 49c | 29.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5this page
- AS Roma vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)US Lecce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.