Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x213e7077ef4f662992917ef28b55492f5e49fa32213b5501859cc5951aa65baf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,499 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 57c | 1,732$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.77 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed No | 58c | 1,681$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 32c | 1,459$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 57c | 1,306$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 43c | 1,030$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.09 | 343 | 28.3%97 W · 246 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…db4cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,012$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 859.28$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.5 | 994 | 44.7%444 W · 550 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed No | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 574.49$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.86 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 38c | 401.61$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.61 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 361.5$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.99 | 2,575 | 45.6%1,174 W · 1,401 L | +12.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 42c | 286.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 56c | 215.05$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed No | 56c | 212.44$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 42c | 195.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8e…1a45backed Yes | 43c | 186.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked No | 56c | 179.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 57c | 171.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 149.81$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 461 | 47.3%218 W · 243 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0425backed Yes | 44c | 146.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…eaccbacked Yes | 20c | 140.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 44c | 135.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 44c | 135.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 59c | 132.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 24c | 124.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed No | 56c | 113.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…5e45backed Yes | 45c | 110.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Yes | 43c | 101.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 26c | 95.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 94.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 387 | 47.8%185 W · 202 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed No | 56c | 89.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 80c | 73.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Yes | 43c | 69.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…caa0backed Yes | 43c | 69.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Yes | 44c | 67.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 61c | 61.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed No | 78c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes | 44c | 45.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked Yes | 25c | 44.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 60c | 41.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 56c | 39.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 44c | 27.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Yes | 43c | 23.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +6.5wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…7a1bbacked No | 64c | 19.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)US Lecce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.