Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x979f38e53f2683d7416f51a0dc497294c197a9710f23aa925343399303ee41cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,356 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 21,659$10,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,158.06 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 73c | 5,478$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 37c | 5,057$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.45 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 27c | 4,264$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.89 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 37c | 4,170$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.72 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 72c | 3,862$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 1,571$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.06 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 38c | 1,305$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.88 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 44c | 1,240$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.42 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 43c | 1,140$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.88 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 44c | 1,127$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.68 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 32c | 992.63$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 68c | 957.34$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.35 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Over | 66c | 740.15$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.5 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 28c | 627.97$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.72 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Under | 66c | 599.98$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 35c | 566.88$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.41 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 60c | 500.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 64c | 464.97$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.58 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 51c | 436.16$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 34c | 432.77$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.82 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 6c | 357.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 57c | 347.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.28 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Over | 75c | 347.7$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.78 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 73c | 333.55$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.49 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Over | 52c | 299.83$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.91 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 74c | 268.45$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.65 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Over | 7c | 252.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 231.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 60c | 230$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 46c | 228.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.55 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 46c | 228.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…66f7backed Over | 44c | 225.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 49c | 222.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Under | 51c | 216.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 74c | 198.65$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…9827backed Over | 48c | 198.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 39c | 186.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 27c | 185.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.71 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 49c | 180$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 168.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5a…2a37backed Over | 30c | 165.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 26c | 163.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.89 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 39c | 152.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 48c | 148.86$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 11c | 146$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Over | 50c | 145.46$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 41c | 145.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 71c | 139.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Over | 74c | 138.47$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…4237backed Over | 72c | 137.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…ff11backed Over | 74c | 134.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Over | 44c | 133.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Over | 75c | 132.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.34 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 54c | 127.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under | 25c | 127.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 119.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 44c | 114.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 44c | 112.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 44c | 112.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 63c | 110.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 45c | 110.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391c…ea3fbacked Over | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 100.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 29c | 95.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 37c | 95.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 20c | 89.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 61c | 87.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 27c | 87.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 63c | 85.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 44c | 78.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 52c | 76.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 65c | 76.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 39c | 76.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 71c | 69.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 26c | 67.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Over | 75c | 66.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Over | 75c | 66.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked Over | 46c | 63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 74c | 61.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…bf04backed Over | 72c | 60.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 66c | 55.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 58c | 51.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…83afbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…e7efbacked Over | 64c | 46.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 74c | 46.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 43c | 46.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 27c | 45.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 45c | 44.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 50c | 43.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 46c | 43.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Over | 46c | 43.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 61c | 40.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 37c | 40.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 38c | 39.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5this page
- AS Roma vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)US Lecce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.