TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,356 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c21,659$10,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,158.062,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over73c5,478$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,998.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over37c5,057$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.451833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under27c4,264$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,100.8933148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over37c4,170$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.722123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-48.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over72c3,862$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,780.24757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under27c1,571$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.0698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over38c1,305$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.8816032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over44c1,240$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.427552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under43c1,140$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.881872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+56.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over44c1,127$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.688033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over32c992.63$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.641136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under68c957.34$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.3534643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Over66c740.15$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.510451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over28c627.97$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.72119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under66c599.98$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.991070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over35c566.88$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.413033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over60c500.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.141136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over64c464.97$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.5815459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under51c436.16$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over34c432.77$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8217058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over6c357.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8431738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over57c347.87$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2812035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Over75c347.7$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.783158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over73c333.55$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.499627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Over52c299.83$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.913452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over74c268.45$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.654365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Over7c252.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.221233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over44c231.65$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9449137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over60c230$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1392152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under46c228.68$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5511136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over46c228.17$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.965147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29ed…66f7backed Over44c225.31$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over49c222.82$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.056937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Under51c216.09$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.061546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over41c200$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814045%18 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc952…1d90backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over74c198.65$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14719652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x784d…9827backed Over48c198.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.161040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over39c186.37$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under27c185.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7113445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c180$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8934553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c168.81$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7791043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f5a…2a37backed Over30c165.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under26c163.36$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8942347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over39c152.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.58744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under48c148.86$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0223244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over11c146$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.484535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Over50c145.46$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.52330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-36.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over41c145.1$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4913826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over71c139.83$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.287657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8cc…2e39backed Over74c138.47$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.47757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a1…4237backed Over72c137.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26a6…ff11backed Over74c134.23$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.331855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Over44c133.57$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.772835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Over75c132.46$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.343542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over54c127.59$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.472650%13 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under25c127.33$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.54845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+85%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under29c119.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7446047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over44c114.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3911547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Over44c112.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.572433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over44c112.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5713946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under63c110.2$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.783438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over45c110.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.577262.5%45 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x391c…ea3fbacked Over49c101.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.56812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick41cpaid-62.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c100.19$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.031,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over55c99.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.995540%22 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over29c95.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.83847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under37c95.54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.192842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over20c89.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.972733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over61c87.79$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.552445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under27c87.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5638547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under63c85.4$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.542250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over44c78.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.715238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over52c76.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.658158%47 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over65c76.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.68965.2%58 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over39c76.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.752737%10 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over71c69.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.642931%9 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under26c67.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.114136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Over75c66.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.676960.9%42 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Over75c66.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.671968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc52f…d64abacked Over46c63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.981010%1 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick38cpaid-78.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over74c61.85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7741854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe24e…bf04backed Over72c60.05$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.23366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over66c55.62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.71850%4 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over58c51.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.748242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeaa…e7efbacked Over64c46.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a3c…84c5backed Over74c46.15$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.151675%12 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over43c46.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.834551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Over50c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under27c45.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under45c44.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1610353.4%55 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under50c43.73$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9924955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over46c43.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.852133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b79…e5d8backed Over46c43.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.831650%8 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over61c40.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7917958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over37c40.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.883148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over38c39.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.034738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.