Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaff4798b3d18cbd2a2a234863048c8061c4c9aee9e5ab4dfd923a2d8a7900b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Gamingof Team Heretics, SK Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Team Heretics | 36c | 37,797$13,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,611.49 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked SK Gaming | 65c | 20,000$12,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed SK Gaming | 63c | 13,111$8,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,851.07 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked SK Gaming | 64c | 5,212$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.7 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Team Heretics | 37c | 581$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.97 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Team Heretics | 36c | 556$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed SK Gaming | 63c | 505.86$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.17 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Team Heretics | 34c | 451$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.34 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed SK Gaming | 67c | 371.14$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.51 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked SK Gaming | 66c | 340.24$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.68 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Team Heretics | 32c | 171.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked SK Gaming | 67c | 149.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed SK Gaming | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…7402backed SK Gaming | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Heretics | 34c | 126.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ab…e611backed Team Heretics | 53c | 111.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Team Heretics | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed SK Gaming | 47c | 81.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked SK Gaming | 63c | 79.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed SK Gaming | 66c | 77.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Team Heretics | 36c | 63.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6984…e6dcbacked Team Heretics | 34c | 53.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Team Heretics | 34c | 49.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked SK Gaming | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed SK Gaming | 42c | 37.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked SK Gaming | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed SK Gaming | 67c | 32.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 234 | 43.2%101 W · 133 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed SK Gaming | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group StageTeam Heretics won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics - Game 1 WinnerSK Gaming won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics - Game 2 WinnerTeam Heretics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.