Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97a9f7c1f52ab290a0cb3f7c6bf48c94669028498b808a31ca5516c6aed3ffe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 50c | 1,993$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.88 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 50c | 1,823$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.56 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 49c | 642.1$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.63 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 57c | 453.18$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.7 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 51c | 354$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.46 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Under | 43c | 300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Under | 49c | 157.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 123.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 51c | 102$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 51c | 102$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…6b17backed Under | 56c | 90.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea75…55d5backed Under | 57c | 70.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 47c | 58.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Over | 51c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 53.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under | 47c | 53.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…916fbacked Over | 57c | 44.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Under | 44c | 43.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc89c…df9abacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Over | 51c | 32.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Under | 48c | 29.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 43c | 25.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 153 | 56.9%87 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 48c | 22.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…a9f8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)SK Gaming won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group StageTeam Heretics won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics - Game 1 WinnerSK Gaming won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics - Game 2 WinnerTeam Heretics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.