Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30684634f186f5c97b4c8fb26c4128dec2f35014384b467606e0e831e4c03786
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 54c | 1,101$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.72 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 46c | 861.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 23c | 753.04$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.22 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 53c | 749.99$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 55c | 470.47$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.39 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 46c | 385.65$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…6ddfbacked Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed Over | 47c | 294.36$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Over | 46c | 272$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Under | 54c | 267$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 47c | 259.68$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 53c | 250.24$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.61 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 217$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 164.72$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 54c | 139.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Over | 48c | 137.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Under | 54c | 135$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…7402backed Over | 46c | 123.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Over | 48c | 111.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 54c | 109$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 46c | 105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…04d2backed Under | 54c | 92.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…8e37backed Over | 31c | 83.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked Over | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47a…68e6backed Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 268 | 56.7%152 W · 116 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…5952backed Over | 40c | 53.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 53c | 52.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…69d6backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Under | 69c | 48.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 381 | 57.5%219 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Under | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 45c | 45.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 49c | 43.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Over | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed Under | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Over | 46c | 40.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Over | 47c | 40.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Over | 46c | 40.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea75…55d5backed Under | 66c | 38.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 55c | 34.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5349…a09dbacked Under | 56c | 33.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 131 | 61.1%80 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 55c | 32.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 183 | 59.6%109 W · 74 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…21b1backed Over | 48c | 32.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 153 | 56.9%87 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 373 | 45%168 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Over | 46c | 27.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 45c | 24.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked Under | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 187 | 56.7%106 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed Under | 65c | 20.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Movistar KOI won
- First Blood in Game 2?Fnatic won
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)Movistar KOI won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group StageMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.