Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda4ab3a05003681b06610b28744c11dcbcb099fbc84ea29b34ab94b450fab852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Movistar KOIof Movistar KOI, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Movistar KOI | 45c | 12,748$5,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,011.4 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Fnatic | 55c | 10,879$5,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,965.67 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fnatic | 55c | 3,748$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.57 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked Movistar KOI | 45c | 2,230$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.51 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Movistar KOI | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Fnatic | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Movistar KOI | 45c | 1,856$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.8 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…5a49backed Movistar KOI | 47c | 1,068$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.75 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Fnatic | 50c | 737.14$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.72 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Movistar KOI | 48c | 661.11$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.56 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Fnatic | 53c | 630.94$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.17 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Movistar KOI | 53c | 619.25$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.31 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Fnatic | 57c | 586.67$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.4 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Movistar KOI | 58c | 533.84$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.56 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Fnatic | 56c | 533$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.47 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Movistar KOI | 48c | 426.94$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.01 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Movistar KOI | 43c | 419.91$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.35 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Fnatic | 34c | 417.5$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.95 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Fnatic | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Fnatic | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Movistar KOI | 46c | 360$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.9 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…6ff9backed Movistar KOI | 46c | 273.11$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.11 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Fnatic | 57c | 270.48$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.2 | 481 | 43.2%208 W · 273 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Movistar KOI | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 326 | 50.3%164 W · 162 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Fnatic | 54c | 209.86$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Fnatic | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Fnatic | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Movistar KOI | 45c | 159.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ef93backed Fnatic | 55c | 154.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Fnatic | 55c | 148.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Movistar KOI | 28c | 137.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Movistar KOI | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…7402backed Movistar KOI | 45c | 124$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Movistar KOI | 72c | 123.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Fnatic | 55c | 123.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed Movistar KOI | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 510 | 44.9%229 W · 281 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Movistar KOI | 45c | 105.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Movistar KOI | 46c | 100.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Fnatic | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Movistar KOI | 55c | 90.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Movistar KOI | 48c | 88.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Movistar KOI | 45c | 88.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Movistar KOI | 46c | 75.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Movistar KOI | 44c | 67.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Fnatic | 69c | 66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Movistar KOI | 44c | 63.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Fnatic | 66c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Movistar KOI | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed Fnatic | 57c | 52.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Fnatic | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked Movistar KOI | 45c | 49.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Fnatic | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Fnatic | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…682bbacked Movistar KOI | 45c | 44.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed Fnatic | 56c | 44.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…2bcdbacked Movistar KOI | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Fnatic | 57c | 41.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Fnatic | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…756dbacked Movistar KOI | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Movistar KOI | 66c | 31.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Fnatic | 42c | 29.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed Fnatic | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…62fbbacked Fnatic | 45c | 25.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Fnatic | 71c | 20.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Fnatic | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Fnatic | 56c | 18.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Movistar KOI won
- First Blood in Game 2?Fnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group StageMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.