NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7a6e42b36d87d31173317c7c9f978d06922638f7692241fa1957f78f3913e9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Under | 1c | 12,878$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.78 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 6,667$3,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 4,343$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.41 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 43c | 2,000$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.91 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Under | 36c | 1,560$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 1,305$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.23 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 34c | 974.73$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.75 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Over | 67c | 963.88$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.88 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Under | 35c | 883.41$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 64c | 692.96$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.46 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 64c | 597.21$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.7 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 64c | 422.66$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.57 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 31c | 390.04$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 65c | 320$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 23c | 292.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…b596backed Over | 65c | 155$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Over | 58c | 147.48$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +48%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Under | 39c | 140.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 65c | 131$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 66c | 124.66$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 64c | 116.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 36c | 105.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 57c | 105$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf03…3f1dbacked Over | 65c | 104.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…ea93backed Over | 70c | 76.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 44c | 70.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 59c | 64.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…3ca9backed Over | 72c | 61.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…5864backed Over | 64c | 60.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Over | 69c | 59.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 35c | 57.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Over | 53c | 56.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 37c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Over | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 92 | 71.7%66 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 35c | 36.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 64c | 32.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 56c | 30.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Over | 53c | 30.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…ba84backed Over | 66c | 30.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 68c | 26.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…dc37backed Over | 57c | 25.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Over | 59c | 22.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed Over | 59c | 22.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 55c | 21.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed Over | 74c | 20.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be6…b8b2backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4df…4cacbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-22.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.