TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,351
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,351 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc311…44fcbacked Over58c8,191$4,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,735850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c7,108$3,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,027.12,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c3,685$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.315,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6603…959ebacked Under49c1,652$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over18c1,250$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.38532.9%28 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over54c999.8$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.892445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under44c668.32$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.951,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under58c661.1$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.5696846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…ba84backed Over52c641.54$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over51c552.95$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2823745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9910228.4%29 W · 73 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over54c452.36$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.423927.2%65 W · 174 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over51c392.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003342.4%14 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Over55c290.91$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96cb…df2ebacked Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509525.3%24 W · 71 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over54c199.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9910738.3%41 W · 66 L-13.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-32.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4680…e592backed Over55c180.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Under53c173.92$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.931450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-64.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Under59c143.78$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over52c126$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.473432.4%11 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-41.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x40a1…d943backed Under47c121.28$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608254.9%45 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over33c107.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.479147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c103.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.081,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f25…442cbacked Over33c103.03$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over39c97.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3838737.5%145 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under60c96.32$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5312550.4%63 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013743.8%60 W · 77 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.912147.9%58 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.94744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over31c89.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8112146.3%56 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Under46c87$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.982751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under46c82.1$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.294261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8d…55c5backed Under50c76.11$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.38955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over54c73.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.756848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under59c68.17$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6762652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under46c66.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6812750.4%64 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…6263backed Under46c63.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed Under66c63.15$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over34c62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.976944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.64944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.68747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.630750.8%156 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Under65c59.02$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.691442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Under46c59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.861844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over54c55.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2977…a4dfbacked Over35c52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under46c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.31369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+77.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1fab…b213backed Over32c43.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.13333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-40%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Over36c43.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe667…898fbacked Over36c42.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.414349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbba…e95bbacked Over54c39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.06944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over34c38.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8627639.5%109 W · 167 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over27c38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.261233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+48.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under57c36.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7111347.8%54 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6beb…2e0cbacked Over55c35.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over29c35.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.147723.4%18 W · 59 L-10.2wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-44.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2cc4…635ebacked Under47c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.554100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+194.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over51c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.344447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over51c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.343545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over51c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.347458.1%43 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over51c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.347250%36 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Under47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.912045%9 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over41c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5510436.5%38 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b40…93f4backed Over54c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Under75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.251560%9 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.243145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.246246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.243046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.243050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.247553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.246149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c2…6070backed Over54c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c9…2bd8backed Over45c23.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.551457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51dd…c727backed Under46c21.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.871855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over53c21.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.357548%36 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf21a…0751backed Over54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under78c19.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.229268.5%63 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.