Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94d0a6ba7cf178261ff541fee189e70b2c1ddb8a087c5920cec0e55a24587664
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 35c | 727.09$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.43 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 661.67$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.28 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 57c | 304.47$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.94 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 293.71$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.66 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 43c | 232.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 57c | 175.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 58c | 172.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 56c | 137.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 116.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked No | 43c | 111$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…01e8backed No | 61c | 99.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 91.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 43c | 58.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 58c | 50.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed No | 43c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 57c | 40.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed No | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Yes | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 50c | 29.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 58c | 29.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e21…15a7backed Yes | 59c | 27.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Yes | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 60c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Yes | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Yes | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 64c | 21.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes | 57c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.