Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4513d26d6f568c488f1122efe4108a820d346160a58b2b90ca0f828853023fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 5,739$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.47 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 68c | 2,207$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.13 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 32c | 1,203$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.03 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…a0e4backed Under | 67c | 1,049$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 10c | 1,001$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 34c | 612.54$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.67 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Over | 33c | 300.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 66c | 294.08$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 66c | 276.11$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Under | 77c | 182.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 36c | 137.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 36c | 116.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 34c | 116$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Under | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Over | 36c | 89.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Over | 27c | 73.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 32c | 72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 67c | 59.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Over | 34c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 21c | 49.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Under | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed Over | 36c | 38.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Under | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 32c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Under | 66c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Under | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Under | 67c | 23.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Under | 67c | 22.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Under | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Under | 66c | 15.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.