Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff4925f96358e56b4d8f1a98d3a66264efcc3c9a98081a0d1696c081fa3f4a1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 1,302$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.19 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 10c | 1,152$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 3c | 924.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 18c | 647.4$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 267.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…169bbacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +57%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 10c | 137.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 31c | 106.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 28c | 85.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…3ba3backed Over | 76c | 67.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 73c | 37.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Over | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Over | 68c | 21.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.