Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe39681192599b2ef8608a3beeec3d7e12d9a3e0e59abc930de50c645b4fe65a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 28c | 1,969$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 3c | 834.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 74c | 768.08$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.94 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 735.59$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.48 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 25c | 611.03$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.91 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…ae22backed Over | 59c | 610.74$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 38c | 521.19$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.14 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 74c | 384.59$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 67c | 204.97$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 41c | 200.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 76c | 194.9$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 162.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Over | 75c | 159.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 68c | 147.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 68c | 145$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 131.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 60c | 129.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 58c | 124.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 120.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed Under | 27c | 114.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 21c | 80.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 63c | 79.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 43c | 76.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 79c | 70.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 25c | 61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 58.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over | 49c | 48.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 60c | 40.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 38.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…b213backed Over | 56c | 34.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 73c | 33.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 75c | 24.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Over | 50c | 24.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 74c | 20.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…8f5ebacked Over | 69c | 18.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.