NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd52b101d5b44ff64115e7df57918a017b2306354d8d1b6f1573a918722924abe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Over | 53c | 22,150$11,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,435.45 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Under | 46c | 19,022$8,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,749.75 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 4,203$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.64 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 51c | 1,913$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.65 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 51c | 1,481$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.59 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 1,272$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.64 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 52c | 967.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.23 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Under | 49c | 923.02$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.28 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 426.46$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 306$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 174$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…ba84backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Under | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Over | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…7162backed Over | 49c | 40.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ee…eab7backed Over | 49c | 38.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Under | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. LakersLakers won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.