NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x905769cd49bc38ca24cf1d874af949bd548515fce106d0ac15f4eeaef3941d25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Lakers, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 55c | 12,637$7,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,632.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Spurs | 48c | 9,365$4,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,863.4 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Lakers | 48c | 5,630$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.43 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lakers | 52c | 5,555$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.6 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Lakers | 52c | 3,676$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.4 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Spurs | 59c | 2,700$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Lakers | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff5…9b86backed Spurs | 48c | 2,157$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…e0cfbacked Lakers | 52c | 2,047$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Spurs | 50c | 1,560$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lakers | 51c | 1,243$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.76 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,158$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.21 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Spurs | 57c | 1,149$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.52 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…b2a4backed Spurs | 48c | 1,067$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 51c | 706$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…e859backed Lakers | 52c | 558$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Spurs | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5af6…5d07backed Lakers | 52c | 452$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Lakers | 51c | 410$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 49c | 306$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers | 51c | 291.93$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.88 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Spurs | 49c | 267.49$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.38 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Lakers | 43c | 265.36$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 59c | 231$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Lakers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6572…0412backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…8880backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…fb01backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Lakers | 46c | 184.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Lakers | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Lakers | 42c | 148$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lakers | 42c | 116$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…6c67backed Lakers | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Lakers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Spurs | 59c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…b896backed Spurs | 49c | 82.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…7b85backed Spurs | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a21…e599backed Lakers | 52c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…94a4backed Lakers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked Lakers | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1188…2c2ebacked Lakers | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…fbfabacked Spurs | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8dadbacked Lakers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0842…9d35backed Lakers | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…3ca6backed Lakers | 51c | 34.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…03efbacked Lakers | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2337…3a2cbacked Lakers | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…c5b1backed Lakers | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e1…61edbacked Lakers | 51c | 25.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f8…1092backed Lakers | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc264…eb32backed Lakers | 51c | 23.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. LakersLakers won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.