NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x767e0cce603919fafe9efd9575bfde3ee547ce16eb0a5ab0f67965049997c38a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 51c | 92,533$47,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,226.71 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 46,292$22,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,379.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 26,115$12,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,529.52 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 48c | 6,578$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.19 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Under | 49c | 4,435$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.39 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 4,191$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.03 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 51c | 3,332$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.32 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 52c | 2,828$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.39 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 49c | 2,763$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.89 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Under | 51c | 2,664$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.21 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 49c | 1,956$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.56 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 48c | 1,700$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,333$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.19 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 52c | 1,248$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.67 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 1,141$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.14 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 950$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.55 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 48c | 776.46$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.66 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 46c | 761$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.94 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…1308backed Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee2b…ddcfbacked Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…6c54backed Under | 53c | 624.53$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.53 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 576$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Under | 48c | 435.42$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.42 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 48c | 344$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.22 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 53c | 337$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.34 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 50c | 302.49$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.32 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…ba84backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…ac75backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Under | 49c | 78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 52c | 69.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed Under | 51c | 39.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed Under | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pacers (-3.5)Pacers won
- Nets vs. PacersNets won
- Nets vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Pacers (-6.5)Nets won
- Spread: Pacers (-7.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.