NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pacers (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe7e99b30a55395d3694dbc0d15abd1dca609328cce191da45ab36da0331f8e4

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Netsof Pacers, Nets
Resolved: Nov 5, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $124,772
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $150,627

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,772 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Pacers	49c	34,634$16,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,953.2	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6734…2e18backed Nets	52c	26,233$13,519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,714.45	74	59.5%44 W · 30 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Nets	51c	20,000$10,183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,817.04	346	45.4%157 W · 189 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Pacers	51c	9,528$4,859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,859.06	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Nets	51c	9,234$4,698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,535.49	710	52.1%370 W · 340 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Pacers	51c	7,000$3,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,570	477	48.8%233 W · 244 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Pacers	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Nets	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960	801	46.4%372 W · 429 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Pacers	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	180	47.8%86 W · 94 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Nets	51c	3,188$1,623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,565.45	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers	48c	2,971$1,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,421.46	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Pacers	51c	1,022$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Nets	46c	1,018$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.54	471	44.2%208 W · 263 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Nets	52c	1,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	207	46.4%96 W · 111 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Pacers	54c	1,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	381	51.2%195 W · 186 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x942c…fb3abacked Pacers	51c	588.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ba…b202backed Pacers	50c	580$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7448…b4cfbacked Nets	50c	580$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Nets	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	275	47.6%131 W · 144 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Nets	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Nets	49c	497.33$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.01	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pacers	51c	418$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.18	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…e803backed Pacers	51c	392.06$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.95	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Pacers	49c	285$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.6	801	48.3%387 W · 414 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d6…36cbbacked Nets	51c	284.31$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.31	245	33.9%83 W · 162 L	-19.1wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Nets	51c	275$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.05	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pacers	48c	260.36$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.97	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Pacers	51c	232.54$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.45	300	53.3%160 W · 140 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers	51c	211.77$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27ca…2c36backed Nets	50c	204$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	67	52.2%35 W · 32 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Pacers	51c	198$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.98	361	48.5%175 W · 186 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Pacers	50c	150$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	123	42.3%52 W · 71 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Nets	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	120	50.8%61 W · 59 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5dd…490bbacked Pacers	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	126	54.8%69 W · 57 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37fd…e65abacked Pacers	51c	88.24$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers	48c	81$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.88	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3854…862dbacked Pacers	51c	78.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe45d…f77ebacked Nets	50c	70$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	-10.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa794…e7d8backed Pacers	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x162e…94a4backed Nets	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-4.7wins	-0.20per pick	51cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Pacers	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	60	50%30 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…3ca6backed Nets	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Pacers	52c	47.63$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.77	180	53.3%96 W · 84 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb120…f2ffbacked Pacers	50c	46$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x166a…b99abacked Nets	51c	45.39$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.24	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe51d…c399backed Pacers	51c	45.39$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.15	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+53%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nets	49c	42.8$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.83	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Pacers	47c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	372	53.5%199 W · 173 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17a3…8dadbacked Nets	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-6.7wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9816…28a7backed Nets	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x787c…7ae2backed Pacers	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	89	57.3%51 W · 38 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b2…4e0cbacked Pacers	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	56cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb9d…b033backed Pacers	51c	33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.83	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2337…3a2cbacked Nets	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+50.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67c1…8083backed Pacers	51c	24.59$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f40…3428backed Nets	51c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a5e…32a0backed Nets	50c	23.64$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.82	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd72b…dd61backed Nets	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaba…ba7cbacked Pacers	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-6.0wins	-0.19per pick	56cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Nets	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.14	597	43.6%260 W · 337 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5b0bbacked Nets	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pacers (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event