NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pacers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7d4fc19f475899f0b41f1db05666c16e4a7b4a5e4505321ae044246ce5bc8d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Pacers, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pacers | 45c | 2,479$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.99 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 53c | 2,083$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Nets | 55c | 1,852$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.28 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Pacers | 47c | 1,334$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nets | 54c | 1,018$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.28 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Pacers | 47c | 978.72$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers | 46c | 508$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.68 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Nets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Nets | 53c | 154.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Nets | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…6c67backed Pacers | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nets | 53c | 102.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Pacers | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e1…61edbacked Nets | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2a…9739backed Nets | 55c | 27.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pacers (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pacers (-3.5)Pacers won
- Nets vs. PacersNets won
- Nets vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Pacers (-6.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.