NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc305cf7c0b62745f219c295b3eb254b9b348fcab33da018ddf080b54e78f0dab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 2,521$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 34c | 2,091$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.26 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 1,957$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 54c | 1,750$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 4c | 750$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 26c | 728.41$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.39 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 74c | 625.03$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.93 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 27c | 478.57$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.63 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 10c | 460.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 57c | 425$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.83 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 68c | 377.25$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.42 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa913…e855backed Over | 30c | 358$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 33c | 330.43$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.35 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 39c | 326.78$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.09 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 64c | 308.55$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.08 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 34c | 257.03$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 68c | 251.81$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 35c | 229.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 43c | 213.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 38c | 198.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…0b06backed Under | 59c | 194.56$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 61c | 164.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 75c | 163.27$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 71c | 125.96$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 68c | 123.44$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 59c | 115.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 62c | 112.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 23c | 105.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e7…a322backed Under | 69c | 86.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Under | 62c | 82.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 38c | 74.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…7f28backed Over | 41c | 67.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 75c | 66.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Over | 41c | 64.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…089bbacked Over | 41c | 61.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729f…8783backed Over | 19c | 59.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 40c | 56.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 40c | 52.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 74c | 48.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 178 | 44.4%79 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 45c | 48.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 80c | 47.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 75c | 47.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 67c | 44.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…b05cbacked Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 41c | 36.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9f…3544backed Under | 55c | 36.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 40c | 35.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Under | 54c | 34.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…ba84backed Over | 41c | 34.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Under | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Over | 35c | 28.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 72c | 27.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 66c | 25.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87dd…a18ebacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…d9d1backed Under | 66c | 23.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Kings: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-5.5)Kings won
- 1H Spread: Suns (-6.5)Kings won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-10.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-9.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. KingsSuns won
- Suns vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Kings: O/U 222.5Under won
- Suns vs. Kings: O/U 223.5Under won
- Suns vs. Kings: O/U 224.5Under won
- Suns vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Under won
- Suns vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.