TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Kings: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,935
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,935 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over53c42,054$22,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,123.6787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c17,268$8,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,112.099,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c7,330$3,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,811.62,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Under47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.4942348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c2,711$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.183,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over44c2,245$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.7618536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c2,222$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.664,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c2,138$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.514,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c2,131$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.38,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Over53c1,890$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed Over54c1,853$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c1,612$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.873,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under48c1,300$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x789e…cf5ebacked Over55c1,206$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under45c1,173$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.0279549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Under49c1,153$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.0611943.7%52 W · 67 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4720…007bbacked Under46c1,125$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.52250%11 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under48c1,050$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5464146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under57c976.07$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.7129352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over46c883.4$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.842,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c710.6$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.762,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under45c599.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9949345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over20c592.65$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4667921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over40c577.54$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.691,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ec…2892backed Under58c554.87$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.872623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-62%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c541.24$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.552,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over43c499.99$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.991225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fd6…96c4backed Under62c485.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over53c464.6$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24747651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Over54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21666645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under10c377.78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34014438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over42c371.82$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8926336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1552146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under52c314.9$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.083,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over46c300.93$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7891846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under48c300$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15522746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under48c300$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15591148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under49c280$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under47c242$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2654246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…2985backed Over50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7743447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10626048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over51c199.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under52c192.31$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7445452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over54c187.59$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.332952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over44c184.17$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.815,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under45c176.87$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2837848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a49…f879backed Over54c176.59$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.363253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under47c162.52$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3764844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e32…d479backed Over46c151.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013115.3%20 W · 111 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-47.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c133.64$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.432,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over42c130.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.995,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b4…19acbacked Under47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.664052.5%21 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507247.2%34 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under46c94.41$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.981,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over54c90.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.531,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over48c82.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5431249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4345251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c78.62$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.461,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under50c77.15$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7610028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Over52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over45c75.81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4616867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13eb…17ccbacked Under63c71.51$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead8…ce1abacked Over52c66.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.826141%25 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f59…bd2dbacked Over47c62.46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.363663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over51c62.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9750241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Under68c61.77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7710568.6%72 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under48c58.81$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5878648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309642.7%41 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over53c51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.031,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52fe…effdbacked Under49c48.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.658840.9%36 W · 52 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3e7…a322backed Under57c43.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.676157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under46c42.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2454549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over47c42.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under50c40.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2414264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1688057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.224442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d69…01aebacked Over52c39.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.463354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf375…a60cbacked Over52c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.792045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c37.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.761,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9548…1226backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab1d…3204backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202040%8 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x534d…627cbacked Under56c35.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.493441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba27…c6fbbacked Under59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under53c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.392,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Under49c32.68$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6712552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Over55c29.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4613651.5%70 W · 66 L-15.6wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-14.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Over38c26.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.386621.2%14 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c24.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.223,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c23.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.894,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.196,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under46c22.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3752552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked Under57c22.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.713666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.